The LV Betting Model
How We're Beating Vegas: The Data-Driven Strategy for the Las Vegas Athletics
Model Methodology
Our proprietary model doesn't just look at wins and losses. We track **Expected Run Environment (ERE)**, bullpen fatigue metrics, and humidity adjustments for games in Sacramento and upcoming Las Vegas park factors. By exploiting small inefficiencies in MLB player props, we maintain a consistent edge.
- Park Factor Adjustments
- Pitcher Home/Road Splits
- Lefty/Righty Platoon Exploitation
Season ROI Report
Total Record:114-88-6
ROI:+14.2%
Profit (Units):+28.4u
Last updated: Mar 9, 2026
Today's Model Picks
| Target | Market | Edge | Bet Level | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Miller | Over 1.5 K's | 6.4% | 2.0 Units | PREMIUM ONLY |
| Lawrence Butler | Over 0.5 TB | 4.1% | 1.5 Units | PREMIUM ONLY |
| Athletics ML | Full Game | 2.2% | 1.0 Units | PREMIUM ONLY |
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WEEKLY ROI TRACKER
+4.2u
Week 1 Performance
Get the Weekly Betting Report
Every Friday, we send out a full breakdown of the model's predictions for the weekend series.